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Statistics
Recent Goals
Recent goals is a way of showing fairly accurately how well a team has
been performing in whichever arena it will be playing in (home or away).
Look at, for example, The Racing Post’s weekend six-match form
section. Count how many goals the home team has scored in however many
home matches it has played in the last six games. You will get a
fraction (for example, 3 goals scored for in 2 home games is 3/2). Do
exactly the same for the goals against. Subtract the goals against from
the goals for (this may be easier to do if the fractions are decimalised
e.g.3/2 become 1.5). This will give you a home goal difference. Do the
same with the away team, except use the away matches. You will end up
with a home goal difference for the home team and an away goal
difference for the away team. Again, you are looking for a large
difference between the two numbers. For example, it could go something
like this:
BURNLEY
v BLACKPOOL
(a) 1-2 Luton
(h) 2-2 Wigan
(h) 5-0 Wrexham
(a) 1-1 Cardiff
(a) 1-0 Barnet
(h) 2-0 Stoke
(h) 2-0 Bristol C
(a) 2-0 Wycombe
(a) 1-0 Cambridge U (h) 1-2 Oldham
(a) 1-1 Millwall
(h) 0-5 Bury
Burnley have played 2 home games in
their last 6, and have scored 7 goals - +7/2 (+3.5). They have had no
goals scored against them - 0/2 (0). +3.5 - 0 = +3.5.
Blackpool have played 2 away games in their last 6, and have scored 3
goals - +3/2 (+1.5). They have had 1 goal scored against them - ½
(+0.5). +1.5 - +0.5 = +1.
Thus there is a difference between the two goal differences of +2.5 in
Burnley’s favour. Fairly large.
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